The following chart shows the partisan lean of California over the course of the last 88 years. The partisan lean is defined as a candidate’s national vote share, subtracted from the share of the vote the state casts for that candidate. Thus, it allows us to control for fluctuations in the national environment. The California recall election took place on Oct. 7, 2003.

• I really want to know others’ viewpoints on this.
• A new constitutional amendment to allow for a president's recall.
• At the same time, his status as a pop culture icon and celebrity gave him added cachet with non-ideological voters in the middle.
• As we know from Social Choice Theory, runoff voting, whether conventional or instant runoff voting often fails to find the true winner, whereas round-robin will always find the majority winner .

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You really think the Democrats wouldn't try to recall a https://montreal5a7.ca/en/feedcat/networking-clubs Republican governor? Look, I'm a registered Libertarian and can't stand either of the major parties but I don't blame them for using the recall process. Those are the rules and you play by them, and play hard.

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Less than half of likely voters say the state is headed in the right direction. Recall organizers have until March 15 to get the 1.5 million petition signatures needed to get on the ballot. They say they have 1.4 million in-hand, though the tally has yet to be fully verified by election officials. So, while the recall isn’t exactly dead on arrival tomorrow night, it still seems quite unlikely to happen — which is unfortunate, given the massive amount of ground Republicans have gained since the effort was first publicized. Democrats, undoubtedly intimidated by the traction gained by the recall over the summer, have rallied behind Newsom, and polls seem to indicate that it’s been working.

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He’s made edicts that he had no authority to issue, such as closing houses of worship for pandemic reasons, which was tossed out by the U.S. Back in November, a successful lawsuit by Assemblymen James Gallagher showed Newsom abused his authority by changing state law in violation of the California constitution during the COVID-19 pandemic. My biggest issue with Newsom is that he acts like a king, not an elected governor.

So Newsom has an early election date and everything he said he wants and needs in order to defend himself, save one. A blunder attributed to his aides deprives him of the tag “Democrat” following his name in the recall question. San Diego area businessman John Cox, for example, was strongly endorsed by Trump when he ran against Newsom in 2018 and lost in a percent landslide. Ex-San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer proudly says he voted for Trump last year and can be seen in Oval Office photos fawned over him. Reality TV star Caitlin Jenner has had ex-Trump operatives in her so-far ineffective campaign. In almost every aspect of the Sept. 14 recall election that is now mere weeks away, Gov. Gavin Newsom has had it his way.

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This could be a situation where, like the infamousLiterary Digest poll of 1936, disproportionate energy in one segment of the electorate could skew the results from what we might see in general. In other words, if Democrats are in general apathetic about Newsom’s recall, while Republicans are energized to see him go, it could work to Republicans’ advantage. Having the recall election on Sept. 14, rather than on a normal November Election Day, will not help Democrats. At the same time, his status as a pop culture icon and celebrity gave him added cachet with non-ideological voters in the middle. His immigrant status likely helped him with the state’s burgeoning Hispanic population.